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Red112
360619.3
238351.3
48059.3
Blue12
384718.3
49789.6
40537.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions682905010015020011212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.32.4
45.147.5
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 32.9
3847
#21
18.31.2
22.721.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
3606
#19
19.34.0
14.418.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 9.7
4978
#46
9.62.0
8.66.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
4805
#44
9.34.0
5.08.9
Auto0.6
Teleop8.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
4053
#53
7.62.0
5.02.9
Auto0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0