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Red59
541616.6
459222.1
333711.7
Blue74
417916.4
393746.6
435310.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325601001502005974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#14
22.11.1
17.518.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 24.5
46.61.0
29.330.3
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
Second
5416
#23
16.61.9
11.112.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
4179
#15
16.41.7
13.615.3
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
3337
#50
11.71.1
8.29.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
4353
#30
10.41.7
11.212.8
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0