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Red29
578510.2
333711.7
207812.5
Blue47
208017.4
46396.5
360619.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184301001502947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2078
#47
12.50.5
5.56.0
Auto0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 6.9
3606
#19
19.30.5
18.418.9
Auto0.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
3337
#50
11.70.3
9.39.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2080
#37
17.40.3
14.414.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5785
#25
10.20.5
8.08.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 3.7
4639
#52
6.50.5
8.28.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0