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Red113
5908.0
238351.3
162225.0
Blue156
36435.9
303937.1
331027.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76480100150200113156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.31.9
47.549.4
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 14.2
3039
#10
37.18.5
11.820.3
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
1622
#12
25.01.9
22.324.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 10.8
364
#8
35.98.5
25.133.6
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
590
#35
8.03.2
4.88.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 19.2
27.25.1
17.022.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0