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Red20
208017.4
28177.6
426513.9
Blue42
219013.1
147732.4
3426.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34670501001502002042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#37
17.41.0
14.713.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 15.0
1477
#13
32.41.1
32.431.3
Auto0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
4265
#45
13.91.7
15.413.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 12.3
34
#9
26.21.9
20.218.4
Auto1.2
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
2817
#48
7.61.7
10.08.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 5.5
2190
#33
13.11.9
11.810.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0