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Red18
18184.9
45536.9
417916.4
Blue34
40537.6
408715.8
39916.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2925010204050601834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4179
#15
16.40.9
16.515.7
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
4087
#20
15.80.6
12.513.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
4553
#49
6.90.9
8.07.2
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4053
#53
7.60.6
7.88.3
Auto0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Third
1818
#55
4.90.9
4.53.6
Auto0.5
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3991
#56
6.80.6
6.57.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0