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Red54
45168.9
459222.1
426513.9
Blue72
53821.6
375324.4
218315.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386101001502002505472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#14
22.10.5
21.522.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3753
#27
24.40.9
24.024.9
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
4265
#45
13.90.8
13.113.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 7.6
538
#11
21.60.9
21.122.0
Auto0.5
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4516
#51
8.90.5
8.48.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 6.6
2183
#40
15.50.9
14.615.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0