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Semifinal pool 22015 Bayou Regional
Red158
303937.1
393746.6
394619.4
Blue115
17938.8
238351.3
54699.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7798050150200250300350158115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#2
46.61.2
41.3→42.5
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2383
#1
51.30.3
51.0→51.2
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
3039
#10
37.11.7
30.0→31.6
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
179
#6
38.80.3
38.5→38.7
Auto0.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Third
3946
#42
19.41.7
12.3→13.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 10.0
5469
#31
9.40.4
9.0→9.4
Auto0.8
Teleop8.6
End0.0