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Semifinal pool 62015 Bayou Regional
Red170
303937.1
393746.6
394619.4
Blue154
36435.9
45645.6
192726.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84950200300400500600700170154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.61.4
42.844.1
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
red by 1.0
456
#3
45.60.9
42.743.7
Auto0.1
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
3039
#10
37.11.8
31.933.8
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 1.2
364
#8
35.91.3
32.033.2
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Third
3946
#42
19.41.8
14.316.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1927
#29
26.31.3
22.323.6
Auto0.6
Teleop25.6
End0.0