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Red80
8841.9
17237.4
490821.6
Blue73
490933.2
16638.1
196512.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10379501502008073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#4
41.90.4
42.742.3
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 3.8
166
#9
38.10.2
38.838.6
Auto1.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
172
#3
37.40.4
38.237.8
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 4.2
4909
#10
33.20.2
33.833.6
Auto1.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
4908
#25
21.60.4
22.321.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 9.5
1965
#27
12.00.2
12.712.5
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End0.0