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Red131
287742.1
176849.1
66320.3
Blue80
175719.3
404839.5
573526.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067805015020013180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.4
47.047.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 9.6
4048
#13
39.50.1
39.539.5
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
42.10.4
40.040.4
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 15.6
5735
#16
26.50.1
26.626.5
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
663
#31
20.30.4
18.218.6
Auto1.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 1.0
1757
#26
19.30.1
19.419.3
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0