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Red20
175719.3
242313.3
403413.8
Blue51
17237.4
178611.6
479615.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516101001502002503003502051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1757
#26
19.31.7
20.318.6
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 18.1
172
#3
37.40.5
27.026.5
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
4034
#30
13.81.7
15.213.5
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4796
#36
15.60.5
19.218.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
2423
#37
13.31.7
18.717.0
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 1.7
1786
#32
11.60.5
15.014.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0