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Red40
178611.6
323624.9
287742.1
Blue20
479615.6
175719.3
12119.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645302040801001201401604020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.3
31.630.4
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 22.2
121
#28
19.91.9
19.717.8
Auto1.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Second
3236
#19
24.91.3
19.017.7
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
1757
#26
19.31.9
18.616.7
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
1786
#32
11.61.3
14.413.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4796
#36
15.61.9
18.716.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0