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Red152
12641.9
176849.1
107330.3
Blue124
208423.8
151992.4
549121.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96104050150200250300350152124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.12.5
36.839.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop49.9
End0.0
blue by 43.4
92.40.9
79.480.2
Auto15.6
Teleop76.8
End0.0
Second
126
#5
41.92.5
39.141.6
Auto0.4
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 18.1
2084
#14
23.80.9
13.514.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
1073
#15
30.32.5
25.227.7
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 8.8
5491
#18
21.50.9
13.714.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.8
End0.0