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Red32
346622.2
271328.1
479615.6
Blue74
490933.2
16638.1
6925.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537801001502003274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#11
28.11.3
24.523.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 10.0
166
#9
38.10.1
30.130.0
Auto1.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
3466
#22
22.21.3
19.418.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 11.0
4909
#10
33.20.1
25.925.8
Auto1.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
4796
#36
15.61.3
15.013.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
69
#21
25.10.1
20.820.7
Auto0.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0