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Red58
196512.0
320528.5
242313.3
Blue40
323624.9
573526.5
416919.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456701001502002505840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#12
28.50.4
25.626.0
Auto0.8
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
5735
#16
26.51.3
28.927.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
2423
#37
13.30.4
15.415.7
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 11.7
3236
#19
24.91.3
19.017.7
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
1965
#27
12.00.4
9.49.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 7.9
4169
#29
19.91.3
17.916.6
Auto1.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0