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Red84
534715.3
49878.3
404839.5
Blue82
107330.3
403413.8
479615.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554204060801008482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#13
39.51.5
38.840.3
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
1073
#15
30.31.1
27.728.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
5347
#17
15.31.5
9.010.5
Auto0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4796
#36
15.61.1
13.614.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4987
#34
8.31.5
6.88.2
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4034
#30
13.81.1
17.718.9
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0