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Red93
573526.5
417619.2
12549.9
Blue56
17237.4
563310.1
320528.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100600501502009356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#6
49.90.2
53.253.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
red by 12.5
172
#3
37.40.6
31.931.2
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
5735
#16
26.50.2
27.627.4
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 2.1
3205
#12
28.50.6
26.025.3
Auto0.8
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
4176
#24
19.20.2
17.016.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 9.1
5633
#35
10.10.6
11.110.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0