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Red125
34846.2
107330.3
208423.8
Blue130
323624.9
175719.3
404839.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9468050150200125130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#8
46.21.6
44.145.7
Auto1.0
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 6.7
4048
#13
39.52.8
40.343.1
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
1073
#15
30.31.6
28.930.5
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
3236
#19
24.92.8
18.621.4
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
2084
#14
23.81.6
20.021.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
1757
#26
19.32.8
15.518.2
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0