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Red38
479615.6
208423.8
320528.5
Blue69
9721.1
196512.0
17237.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801003869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#12
28.50.3
19.218.8
Auto0.8
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 8.9
172
#3
37.42.0
25.027.0
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
2084
#14
23.80.3
12.211.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 2.7
97
#20
21.12.0
12.814.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
4796
#36
15.60.3
19.619.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
1965
#27
12.02.0
8.210.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End0.0