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Red8
17619.7
563310.1
416919.9
Blue82
208423.8
271328.1
175719.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3968050100150200250882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#29
19.91.8
16.414.5
Auto1.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
2713
#11
28.10.8
25.626.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
5633
#35
10.11.8
11.89.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 13.7
2084
#14
23.80.8
21.622.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
1761
#39
9.71.8
16.614.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 9.6
1757
#26
19.30.8
18.219.1
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0