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Red114
573526.5
479615.6
8841.9
Blue161
151992.4
242313.3
323624.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66125050100150200250114161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#4
41.91.8
34.936.7
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
blue by 50.5
92.42.0
84.886.8
Auto15.6
Teleop76.8
End0.0
Second
5735
#16
26.51.8
29.331.1
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
3236
#19
24.92.0
20.922.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
4796
#36
15.61.8
13.515.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 2.4
2423
#37
13.32.0
14.916.9
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0