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Red141
320528.5
34846.2
175719.3
Blue70
49878.3
12119.9
490933.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9254015020014170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#8
46.22.6
45.848.3
Auto1.0
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 13.0
4909
#10
33.20.4
32.633.0
Auto1.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Second
3205
#12
28.52.6
24.727.3
Auto0.8
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 8.7
121
#28
19.90.4
20.821.2
Auto1.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
1757
#26
19.32.6
19.121.6
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 11.0
4987
#34
8.30.4
8.89.2
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0