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Red50
549121.5
107330.3
12119.9
Blue74
271328.1
176849.1
416919.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69840501502002503003504005074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#15
30.30.9
34.633.7
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 18.8
49.10.5
43.643.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
5491
#18
21.50.9
18.217.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 6.7
2713
#11
28.10.5
24.023.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
121
#28
19.90.9
21.220.3
Auto1.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4169
#29
19.90.5
16.816.3
Auto1.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0