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Red50
346622.2
417619.2
178611.6
Blue58
49878.3
208423.8
573526.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516001002003004005058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3466
#22
22.20.2
22.522.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5735
#16
26.50.1
28.728.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
4176
#24
19.20.2
17.417.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2084
#14
23.80.1
22.722.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
1786
#32
11.60.2
14.414.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
4987
#34
8.30.1
9.29.0
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0