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Red108
17237.4
500011.9
12641.9
Blue130
196512.0
66320.3
151992.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78119050100150200250108130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#5
41.91.0
43.044.0
Auto0.4
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 50.5
92.40.6
87.888.5
Auto15.6
Teleop76.8
End0.0
Second
172
#3
37.41.0
32.833.9
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 17.1
663
#31
20.30.6
17.117.8
Auto1.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
5000
#40
11.91.0
11.612.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1965
#27
12.00.6
12.312.9
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End0.0