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Red64
271328.1
323624.9
49878.3
Blue166
8841.9
287742.1
490933.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43109015020025064166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#11
28.10.4
23.523.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 14.0
42.13.2
34.437.5
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Second
3236
#19
24.90.4
22.523.0
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 17.0
88
#4
41.93.2
36.339.5
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Third
4987
#34
8.30.4
9.09.5
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 24.9
4909
#10
33.23.2
31.634.8
Auto1.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0