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Red103
175719.3
176849.1
16638.1
Blue112
6925.1
12549.9
346622.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82814060100120103112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.11.3
34.936.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop49.9
End0.0
blue by 0.9
125
#6
49.91.6
50.752.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
Second
166
#9
38.11.3
29.030.3
Auto1.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 13.0
69
#21
25.11.6
17.619.2
Auto0.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
1757
#26
19.31.3
19.020.3
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3466
#22
22.21.6
17.218.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0