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Red107
287742.1
176849.1
66320.3
Blue192
12549.9
151992.4
178611.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96153050200250107192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.10.0
48.048.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop49.9
End0.0
blue by 43.4
92.40.7
91.091.7
Auto15.6
Teleop76.8
End0.0
Second
42.10.0
41.041.0
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
blue by 7.8
125
#6
49.90.7
48.549.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
Third
663
#31
20.30.0
19.219.2
Auto1.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 8.7
1786
#32
11.60.7
10.110.8
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0