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Red45
320528.5
12641.9
6925.1
Blue87
323624.9
271328.1
208423.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100670501502004587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#5
41.90.9
43.042.1
Auto0.4
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 13.8
2713
#11
28.10.2
27.327.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
3205
#12
28.50.9
29.628.7
Auto0.8
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
3236
#19
24.90.2
24.224.4
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
69
#21
25.10.9
26.225.3
Auto0.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 1.3
2084
#14
23.80.2
23.023.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0