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Red186
12549.9
151992.4
178611.6
Blue110
323624.9
271328.1
208423.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162560100150200250186110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.40.6
91.792.3
Auto15.6
Teleop76.8
End0.0
red by 64.3
2713
#11
28.10.6
27.528.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
125
#6
49.90.6
49.249.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
red by 25.0
3236
#19
24.90.6
24.424.9
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
1786
#32
11.60.6
10.811.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 12.3
2084
#14
23.80.6
23.223.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0