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Red166
23044.7
151977.3
490819.0
Blue20
511219.8
242317.9
12119.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14344010020025016620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.30.6
74.675.1
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 57.5
5112
#16
19.80.7
20.920.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
230
#4
44.70.6
41.942.5
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 25.0
121
#14
19.70.7
20.820.1
Auto1.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4908
#22
19.00.6
16.216.7
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
2423
#12
17.90.7
19.018.4
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0