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Red121
23044.7
151977.3
490819.0
Blue32
573815.2
207921.4
323617.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1463705010020025012132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.30.2
75.174.9
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 55.9
2079
#11
21.40.4
21.821.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Second
230
#4
44.70.2
42.542.2
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 27.4
3236
#17
17.30.4
17.717.3
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4908
#22
19.00.2
16.716.5
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 3.7
5738
#18
15.20.4
15.615.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0