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Red60
24646.3
323617.3
181122.3
Blue0
9712.8
511219.8
135013.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6841050100150600

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#2
46.30.3
35.535.2
Auto4.0
Teleop42.3
End0.0
red by 26.5
5112
#16
19.82.9
21.418.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
1811
#13
22.30.3
19.519.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 9.1
1350
#24
13.22.9
15.412.6
Auto0.4
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
3236
#17
17.30.5
11.611.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.5
97
#25
12.82.9
9.76.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.6
End0.0