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Red86
23044.7
511219.8
37803.9
Blue86
12119.7
181122.3
112426.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666002040801001201408686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
44.70.9
37.638.5
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 18.3
26.41.5
20.221.7
Auto0.6
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
5112
#16
19.81.6
24.526.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
1811
#13
22.31.5
19.721.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
3780
#26
3.90.9
5.26.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 15.8
121
#14
19.72.4
22.825.3
Auto1.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0