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Red109
10214.6
287727.8
151977.3
Blue65
511219.8
479619.6
431118.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions902705010015020010965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.31.3
54.856.1
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 57.5
5112
#16
19.82.8
13.616.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Second
2877
#15
27.82.2
17.619.8
Auto1.0
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 8.2
4796
#19DQ
19.62.8
7.610.3
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
102
#20
14.61.3
10.611.9
Auto0.7
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4311
#21
18.91.7
16.518.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0