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Red30
135013.2
181122.3
511219.8
Blue18
10275.3
573526.1
490819.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683402060801001201401603018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#13
22.31.8
22.520.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 3.9
26.11.6
22.621.0
Auto0.2
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
5112
#16
19.82.6
26.223.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 0.8
4908
#22
19.01.6
12.711.1
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
1350
#24
13.22.6
16.714.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 7.9
1027
#27
5.31.6
5.33.6
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End0.0