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Red115
7838.5
395823.2
573526.1
Blue132
24646.3
490819.0
15528.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7772204060100120140160115132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
38.52.4
36.438.8
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
246
#2
46.32.8
42.245.0
Auto4.0
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Second
26.12.4
21.023.4
Auto0.2
Teleop25.9
End0.0
blue by 2.0
155
#6
28.12.8
22.325.1
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
3958
#10
23.21.8
21.623.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
4908
#22
19.03.8
11.114.9
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0