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Red123
12536.0
181122.3
207921.4
Blue64
112426.4
573815.2
15528.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686305010015012364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#5
36.02.7
29.932.6
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 7.9
155
#6
28.10.1
25.125.0
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
1811
#13
22.32.7
19.922.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
26.40.1
26.426.3
Auto0.6
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
2079
#11
21.43.3
19.622.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 6.2
5738
#18
15.20.1
14.314.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0