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Red142
7838.5
511219.8
151977.3
Blue104
23044.7
323617.3
573526.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14165050100200250142104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.30.4
74.274.6
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 32.7
230
#4
44.71.2
41.342.5
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
78
#3
38.50.5
38.839.3
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 12.4
26.11.4
21.322.7
Auto0.2
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Third
5112
#16
19.80.5
21.421.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 2.5
3236
#17
17.31.4
16.618.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0