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Red82
7838.5
490819.0
479619.6
Blue82
431118.9
573815.2
12119.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764401001508282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
38.50.4
39.339.7
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 18.8
121
#14
19.71.7
19.020.8
Auto1.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
4796
#19
19.60.4
19.119.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
4311
#21
18.91.6
17.318.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4908
#22
19.00.4
15.716.2
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 3.7
5738
#18
15.21.7
14.115.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0