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Red156
23044.7
151977.3
490819.0
Blue116
287727.8
573526.1
10275.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15037050100200250156116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.30.3
76.376.6
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 49.6
2877
#15
27.81.0
26.827.8
Auto1.0
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
230
#4
44.70.3
43.643.9
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 18.6
26.11.0
25.126.1
Auto0.2
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Third
4908
#22
19.00.3
17.918.2
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 13.7
1027
#27
5.31.0
4.35.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End0.0