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Red148
6765.1
3380.8
543623.2
Blue95
7065.9
283455.4
332245.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16416010012014018020014895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
80.80.0
80.880.8
Auto6.8
Teleop74.0
End0.0
red by 15.0
70
#15
65.90.0
65.965.9
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
67
#11
65.10.0
65.165.1
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 9.6
2834
#10
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Third
5436
#22
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 22.2
3322
#25
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0