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Red10
47025.4
21752.1
173231.7
Blue90
6765.1
7065.9
439518.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971520502002501090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#7
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
blue by 13.8
70
#15
65.90.0
65.965.9
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
1732
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0
blue by 33.3
67
#11
65.10.0
65.165.1
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Third
470
#13
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 7.4
4395
#34
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0