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Red28
353826.7
569514.7
91023.7
Blue22
28045.2
45076.9
24022.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617301001502002503002822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 18.5
280
#36
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
910
#31
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
240
#16
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
5695
#37
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 7.8
4507
#38
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0