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Red14
6765.1
28045.2
46970.7
Blue15
233757.4
30216.3
152813.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1956301001502503001415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#14
70.70.0
70.770.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
red by 13.3
2337
#19
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
67
#11
65.10.0
65.165.1
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 48.8
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
280
#36
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
red by 32.1
1528
#26
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0