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Red110
171849.2
413043.6
569514.7
Blue127
354762.4
283228.4
3380.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90179050150200250300110127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#20
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
blue by 31.7
33
#1
80.80.0
80.880.8
Auto6.8
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
43.60.0
43.643.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 18.8
62.40.0
62.462.4
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Third
5695
#37
14.70.0
14.714.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 13.7
2832
#17
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0