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Red18
353826.7
24548.1
50351.6
Blue76
6765.1
173231.7
7446.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181410501002002503003501876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
blue by 13.5
67
#11
65.10.0
65.165.1
Auto5.3
Teleop59.8
End0.0
Second
245
#30
48.10.0
48.148.1
Auto0.8
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
74
#18
46.10.0
46.146.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Third
3538
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1732
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0