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Red194
50351.6
3380.8
283455.4
Blue66
283228.4
233757.4
6666.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1891395010025030019466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
80.80.0
80.880.8
Auto6.8
Teleop74.0
End0.0
red by 14.4
66
#32
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto1.3
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
2834
#10
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2337
#19
57.40.0
57.457.4
Auto1.9
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
red by 23.2
2832
#17
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0