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Red46
46970.7
439518.0
45076.9
Blue22
543623.2
509014.0
28045.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95770501504622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#14
70.70.0
70.770.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
red by 25.6
280
#36
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Second
4395
#34
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5436
#22
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
4507
#38
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5090
#23
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0